Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 14.762674 17.199947 19.852941 22.947325 26.449135 30.280638 34.781431
2025-06-08 10.005690 13.162667 16.958369 21.820027 27.839474 35.002952 44.123352
2025-06-15 8.068482 11.666160 16.334000 22.745210 31.219652 41.924576 56.338086
2025-06-22 6.612231 10.372486 15.577927 23.156177 33.723153 47.725948 67.431677
2025-06-29 5.315941 8.997754 14.408256 22.711244 34.852624 51.631055 76.162646
2025-07-06 4.223127 7.692055 13.088383 21.789091 35.083078 54.169776 83.052881
2025-07-13 3.848389 7.439399 13.286961 23.091203 38.593806 61.517672 97.131584
2025-07-20 3.503573 7.166953 13.394705 24.223006 41.893143 68.733240 111.433264
2025-07-27 3.128387 6.769498 13.227360 24.860134 44.427975 74.921889 124.538003
2025-08-03 2.735650 6.266434 12.800644 24.991263 46.117459 79.870766 135.996067
2025-08-10 2.323063 5.646999 12.074728 24.504182 46.702605 83.065912 144.851976
2025-08-17 1.977096 5.097697 11.398356 24.013319 47.204231 86.108013 153.576042
2025-08-24 1.646131 4.540596 10.677507 23.452288 47.701291 89.456349 163.500852
2025-08-31 1.307277 3.892557 9.682402 22.264163 46.996528 90.803640 170.367130
2025-09-07 1.193138 3.762815 9.756512 23.198448 50.300620 99.290535 189.800784
2025-09-14 1.056295 3.541519 9.592103 23.615216 52.640325 106.211339 206.926019
2025-09-21 0.885573 3.183081 9.052703 23.162462 53.221542 109.977935 218.719075
2025-09-28 0.717458 2.782302 8.338602 22.224446 52.718684 111.681432 226.889326
2025-10-05 0.682889 2.780295 8.612942 23.548872 56.974085 122.559075 252.260137
2025-10-12 0.642260 2.748606 8.805174 24.699934 60.949240 133.121968 277.567345
2025-10-19 0.584707 2.644429 8.788125 25.347847 63.892151 141.847956 299.875787
2025-10-26 0.515287 2.477738 8.571691 25.481192 65.715877 148.472089 318.538737
2025-11-02 0.435473 2.245599 8.127479 24.985874 66.088362 152.209279 331.856683